Game of roulette: Software development effort estimation - II,How ‘knowing software effort estimation is more about biases and human misjudgment’ can help Part 2: Authority & Availability Bias
Earlier i n Part 1 I talked about Anchor bias at play in bid management, Agile poker planning and a sales situation. In part II of this series I share my opinion on Authority and Availability bias at play in estimations. Authority bias is the tendency to attribute greater accuracy to the opinion of an authority figure (unrelated to its content) and be more influenced by that opinion. It is a conditioned bias that make us ‘believe’ individuals dressed as doctors talking about a particular toothpaste brand, people seeming like police, lawyers or government authorities talking about law, Senior or management though non-technical make better technology or project choices ! In order to make short cuts & make easier choices as humans we implicitly follow authority. Have you seen the technology choices and solution direction changed because the management wanted Jack to review the solution ? ‘Mr Jack of all ‘ lacks mastery of the specific subject, but the